Can Large Language Models Replicate Survey
Data Across Topics?
Verasight
January
9, 2026
Can Large Language Models Replicate Survey Data
Across Topics?
“Synthetic samples” fail to replicate
human response patterns on both political and non-political
questions.
In
December 2025, Verasight asked members of the polling and market
research communities to submit survey questions for us to ask a sample
of 2,000 U.S. adults. From this, we created a LLM-generated dataset for
those same human responses, and imputed their attitudinal responses
given their demographic traits.
This
report compares the response-by-question proportions in the human and
LLM-generated survey data.
If you are
planning on conducting a survey or are interested in collaborations on
further synthetic research, contact us.
Key Takeaways
Mean absolute error by question category for single-answer
questions. Lower values indicate better LLM performance.
Selection rates for multi-response question options. Points
along the left edge represent options that human respondents selected
but the LLM systematically ignored. The red region highlights options
with >5% human selection but <1% LLM selection.
Comparison of LLM-imputed and human survey response
proportions by category. Each point represents one response option for a
single-answer question. The dashed line indicates perfect
agreement.
1 Frequency of Digital
Detox for Wellbeing
How often do you intentionally unplug from all digital devices
(phone, TV, computer) for at least one hour to improve your wellbeing?
(N = 1,000)
Response
Real
Synthetic
Daily
25%
0%
A few time per week
21%
14%
A few times per month
11%
53%
Rarely
26%
34%
Never
16%
0%
Other
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
1.1
Crosstabs
Real
Crosstabs
Age
Response
18-29
30-49
50-64
65+
Daily
22%
24%
26%
27%
A few time per week
18%
25%
21%
18%
A few times per month
15%
11%
11%
6%
Rarely
25%
28%
24%
28%
Never
18%
12%
17%
20%
Other
0%
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
1%
1%
0%
0%
Income
Response
< $50,000
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000 - $149,999
> $150,000
Daily
26%
27%
22%
17%
A few time per week
23%
20%
19%
25%
A few times per month
10%
11%
13%
9%
Rarely
28%
24%
27%
34%
Never
13%
19%
18%
14%
Other
0%
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
1%
1%
1%
Gender
Response
Male
Female
Daily
25%
25%
A few time per week
19%
23%
A few times per month
10%
11%
Rarely
27%
26%
Never
18%
14%
Other
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
1%
Education
Response
HS or less
Some college/2-yr degree
4-yr/post-graduate degree
Daily
25%
26%
24%
A few time per week
21%
20%
22%
A few times per month
9%
11%
12%
Rarely
28%
22%
28%
Never
17%
20%
13%
Other
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
1%
0%
Party ID
Response
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Daily
17%
29%
26%
A few time per week
22%
22%
19%
A few times per month
10%
10%
12%
Rarely
31%
25%
24%
Never
19%
14%
18%
Other
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
1%
0%
Race/Ethnicity
Response
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Daily
26%
23%
24%
23%
A few time per week
21%
23%
20%
23%
A few times per month
10%
17%
10%
6%
Rarely
25%
25%
29%
31%
Never
18%
12%
16%
15%
Other
0%
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
1%
1%
Synthetic
Crosstabs
Age
Response
18-29
30-49
50-64
65+
Daily
0%
0%
0%
0%
A few time per week
21%
13%
12%
10%
A few times per month
34%
53%
58%
63%
Rarely
45%
34%
30%
26%
Never
0%
0%
0%
0%
Other
0%
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
0%
0%
Income
Response
< $50,000
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000 - $149,999
> $150,000
Daily
0%
0%
0%
0%
A few time per week
3%
13%
20%
39%
A few times per month
41%
60%
60%
45%
Rarely
57%
27%
21%
15%
Never
0%
0%
0%
0%
Other
0%
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gender
Response
Male
Female
Daily
0%
0%
A few time per week
9%
19%
A few times per month
48%
57%
Rarely
43%
24%
Never
0%
0%
Other
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
Education
Response
HS or less
Some college/2-yr degree
4-yr/post-graduate degree
Daily
0%
0%
0%
A few time per week
5%
10%
27%
A few times per month
42%
60%
59%
Rarely
53%
30%
14%
Never
0%
0%
0%
Other
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
0%
Party ID
Response
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Daily
0%
0%
0%
A few time per week
31%
10%
5%
A few times per month
62%
50%
48%
Rarely
7%
41%
47%
Never
0%
0%
0%
Other
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
0%
Race/Ethnicity
Response
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Daily
0%
0%
0%
0%
A few time per week
13%
15%
13%
17%
A few times per month
54%
57%
46%
55%
Rarely
33%
28%
41%
28%
Never
0%
0%
0%
0%
Other
0%
0%
0%
0%
I would rather not say
0%
0%
0%
0%
2 Importance of
Undergraduate Degree in Today’s Job Market
How important is an undergraduate degree in the job market today? (N
= 1,000)
Response
Real
Synthetic
Extremely important
20%
0%
Somewhat important
43%
100%
Not important or unimportant
23%
0%
Somewhat unimportant
10%
0%
Very unimportant
5%
0%
2.1
Crosstabs
Real
Crosstabs
Age
Response
18-29
30-49
50-64
65+
Extremely important
29%
18%
20%
13%
Somewhat important
44%
40%
38%
50%
Not important or unimportant
18%
24%
28%
21%
Somewhat unimportant
3%
12%
10%
12%
Very unimportant
6%
5%
4%
4%
Income
Response
< $50,000
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000 - $149,999
> $150,000
Extremely important
20%
16%
23%
31%
Somewhat important
39%
45%
40%
45%
Not important or unimportant
29%
23%
22%
10%
Somewhat unimportant
7%
12%
9%
9%
Very unimportant
6%
4%
5%
5%
Gender
Response
Male
Female
Extremely important
18%
21%
Somewhat important
41%
44%
Not important or unimportant
24%
22%
Somewhat unimportant
10%
9%
Very unimportant
6%
4%
Education
Response
HS or less
Some college/2-yr degree
4-yr/post-graduate degree
Extremely important
18%
15%
25%
Somewhat important
33%
44%
51%
Not important or unimportant
32%
23%
15%
Somewhat unimportant
11%
11%
8%
Very unimportant
6%
7%
2%
Party ID
Response
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Extremely important
26%
18%
16%
Somewhat important
50%
39%
41%
Not important or unimportant
15%
30%
22%
Somewhat unimportant
5%
9%
14%
Very unimportant
4%
4%
6%
Race/Ethnicity
Response
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Extremely important
16%
30%
21%
27%
Somewhat important
44%
36%
42%
43%
Not important or unimportant
23%
23%
25%
17%
Somewhat unimportant
12%
6%
6%
8%
Very unimportant
4%
5%
6%
5%
Synthetic
Crosstabs
Age
Response
18-29
30-49
50-64
65+
Extremely important
0%
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat important
100%
100%
100%
100%
Not important or unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Very unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Income
Response
< $50,000
$50,000-$99,999
$100,000 - $149,999
> $150,000
Extremely important
0%
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat important
100%
100%
100%
100%
Not important or unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Very unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gender
Response
Male
Female
Extremely important
0%
0%
Somewhat important
100%
100%
Not important or unimportant
0%
0%
Somewhat unimportant
0%
0%
Very unimportant
0%
0%
Education
Response
HS or less
Some college/2-yr degree
4-yr/post-graduate degree
Extremely important
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat important
100%
100%
100%
Not important or unimportant
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat unimportant
0%
0%
0%
Very unimportant
0%
0%
0%
Party ID
Response
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Extremely important
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat important
100%
100%
100%
Not important or unimportant
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat unimportant
0%
0%
0%
Very unimportant
0%
0%
0%
Race/Ethnicity
Response
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Extremely important
0%
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat important
100%
100%
100%
100%
Not important or unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Somewhat unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
Very unimportant
0%
0%
0%
0%
3 Ease of Access to
Healthcare in the Last 6 Months
In the last 6 months, how often was it easy to get the healthcare,
tests, or treatment you needed? (N = 1,000)